Bumble Bees Are Going Extinct in Time of Climate Chaos – “We Have Now Entered the World’s Sixth Mass Extinction Event”

The Common Eastern Bumble Bee, Bombus Impatiens. Credit: Antoine Morin

University of Ottawa researchers develop technique to predict impact of climate change on species extinction risk.

When you were young, were you the type of child who would scour open fields looking for bumble bees? Today, it is much harder for kids to spot them, since bumble bees are drastically declining in North America and in Europe.

“We have now entered the world’s sixth mass extinction event, the biggest and most rapid global biodiversity crisis since a meteor ended the age of the dinosaurs.” — Peter Soroye

A new study from the University of Ottawa found that in the course of a single human generation, the likelihood of a bumble bee population surviving in a given place has declined by an average of over 30%.

Peter Soroye, a Ph.D. student in the Department of Biology at the University of Ottawa, Jeremy Kerr, professor at the University of Ottawa and head of the lab group Peter is in, along with Tim Newbold, research fellow at UCL (University College London), linked the alarming idea of ”climate chaos” to extinctions, and showed that those extinctions began decades ago.

“We’ve known for a while that climate change is related to the growing extinction risk that animals are facing around the world,” first author Peter Soroye explained. “In this paper, we offer an answer to the critical questions of how and why that is. We find that species extinctions across two continents are caused by hotter and more frequent extremes in temperatures.”

“We have now entered the world’s sixth mass extinction event, the biggest and most rapid global biodiversity crisis since a meteor ended the age of the dinosaurs, ” says Peter Soroye.

Massive decline of the most important pollinators on Earth

“Bumble bees are the best pollinators we have in wild landscapes and the most effective pollinators for crops like tomato, squash, and berries,” Peter Soroye observed. “Our results show that we face a future with many less bumble bees and much less diversity, both in the outdoors and on our plates.”

Climate change means places are getting hotter than ever before, and these extremes appear to be driving the disappearance of bumble bees across continents. Credit: Peter Soroye, University of Ottawa.

The researchers discovered that bumble bees are disappearing at rates “consistent with a mass extinction.”

“If declines continue at this pace, many of these species could vanish forever within a few decades,” Peter Soroye warned.

The technique

“We know that this crisis is entirely driven by human activities,” Peter Soroye said. “So, to stop this, we needed to develop tools that tell us where and why these extinctions will occur.”

“Predicting why bumble bees and other species are going extinct in a time of rapid, human-caused climate change could help us prevent extinction in the 21st century.” — Dr. Jeremy Kerr

The researchers looked at climate change and how it increases the frequency of really extreme events like heatwaves and droughts, creating a sort of “climate chaos” which can be dangerous for animals. Knowing that species all have different tolerances for temperature (what’s too hot for some might not be for others), they developed a new measurement of temperature.

“We have created a new way to predict local extinctions that tells us, for each species individually, whether climate change is creating temperatures that exceed what the bumble bees can handle,” Dr. Tim Newbold explained.

Using data on 66 different bumble bee species across North America and Europe that have been collected over a 115-year period (1900-2015) to test their hypothesis and new technique, the researchers were able to see how bumble bee populations have changed by comparing where bees are now to where they used to be historically.

“We found that populations were disappearing in areas where the temperatures had gotten hotter,” Peter Soroye said. “Using our new measurement of climate change, we were able to predict changes both for individual species and for whole communities of bumble bees with a surprisingly high accuracy.”

A new horizon of research

This study doesn’t end here. In fact, it opens the doors to new research horizons to track extinction levels for other species like reptiles, birds, and mammals.

“Perhaps the most exciting element is that we developed a method to predict extinction risk that works very well for bumble bees and could in theory be applied universally to other organisms,” Peter Soroye indicated. “With a predictive tool like this, we hope to identify areas where conservation actions would be critical to stopping declines.”

“Predicting why bumble bees and other species are going extinct in a time of rapid, human-caused climate change could help us prevent extinction in the 21st century,” says Dr. Jeremy Kerr.

There is still time to act

“This work also holds out hope by implying ways that we might take the sting out of climate change for these and other organisms by maintaining habitats that offer shelter, like trees, shrubs, or slopes, that could let bumble bees get out of the heat,” Dr. Kerr said. “Ultimately, we must address climate change itself and every action we take to reduce emissions will help. The sooner the better. It is in all our interests to do so, as well as in the interests of the species with whom we share the world.”

Reference: “Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents” by Peter Soroye, Tim Newbold and Jeremy Kerr, 7 February 2020, Science.
DOI: 10.1126/science.aax8591

The paper Climate change contributes to widespread declines among bumble bees across continents is published in Science.

Funding: J.K. is grateful for Discovery Grant and Discovery Accelerator Supplement from the Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC) and funds from his University Research Chair in Macroecology and Conservation at the University of Ottawa. J.K. is also supported through infrastructure funds from the Canada Foundation for Innovation. This collaboration was funded by a Royal Society grant to T.N. and J.K. and an NSERC Postgraduate Scholarship award to P.S. to work with J.K. T.N. was supported by a Royal Society University Research Fellowship and a grant from the UK Natural Environment Research Council (NE/R010811/1).

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  • Rick Fischer

    Did bumblebees suddenly appear in the fossil record twelve thousand years ago? Because if they are going extinct because of the barely discernible changes in our weather over the last century, how on earth could they have survived the last hundred thousand year glaciation of the Ice Age? Let alone the great swings of the weather from the warm Roman Period to the cold Little Ice Age?

    Or could it be that scientists are simply grubbing for grant money by parroting the Leftist Agenda?

  • Mike Snider

    Really? I find it hard to believe. We are covered in them each and every summer.

  • Rat Wrangler

    We have solid evidence that bees have been around for 45 million years, and some scientists think that they may have existed for 200 million years. Several ice ages and warming periods have happened over the last 45 million years, and the bees survived them. Now we have a lot of evidence that modern pesticides, especially neonicotinoids, are especially toxic to bees, but there is no mention of toxins in this article. Hmmm.

  • pete walls

    Hope the politicians all die first.

  • Philip

    Being allergic to bee venom I watch fairly carefully. Living in Alaska helps as the total insect population is smaller than in warmer climates. At least it used to be, early 2000’s bark beetles destroyed several thousand square miles of spruce forest and the dead trees caught fire a couple years later. Devastated is a mild word for the destruction.

    Over all the insect population is close to double in average size of insect. The warm weather apparently is beneficial to larger bugs like the bark beetle.
    Bees are declining for some reason, small bees and hornets, even the large bumblebees. This is odd because all the other species are increasing.

    Something special about honeybees, hope we find out just what it is.

  • Rauno

    Total leftist hogwash. The nature is Doug better than ever.dont believe anything these politically motivated fraudsters tell. I hopea they Will Be soon purged from the face of earth.

  • Rauno

    Total leftist hogwash. The nature is doing better than ever. don’t believe anything these politically motivated fraudsters tell. I hope they will be soon purged from the face of earth.