Earth’s oceans once showed resilience to warming, but today’s faster emissions and pollution make oxygen loss a growing threat.
Oxygen levels in the ancient oceans were surprisingly resilient to climate change, new research suggests.
Scientists used geological samples to estimate ocean oxygen during a period of global warming 56 million years ago — and found “limited expansion” of seafloor anoxia (absence of oxygen).
Global warming — both past and present — depletes ocean oxygen, but the new study suggests warming of 5°C (9°F) in the Paleocene Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) led to anoxia covering no more than 2% of the global seafloor.
Modern Oceans Face Additional Pressures
However, conditions are different today to the PETM — today’s rate of carbon emissions is much faster, and we are adding nutrient pollution to the oceans — both of which could drive more rapid and expansive oxygen loss.
The study was carried out by an international team including researchers from ETH Zurich, the University of Exeter and Royal Holloway, University of London.
“The good news from our study is that the Earth system was resilient to seafloor deoxygenation 56 million years ago despite pronounced global warming,” said lead author Dr. Matthew Clarkson, of ETH Zurich.
“However, there are reasons why things are different today.
Today’s Oceans Are at Greater Risk
“In particular, we think the Paleocene had higher atmospheric oxygen than today, which would have made anoxia less likely.
“Additionally, human activity is putting more nutrients into the ocean through fertilizers and pollution, which can drive oxygen loss and accelerate environmental deterioration.”
To estimate ocean oxygen levels during the PETM, the researchers analyzed the isotopic composition of uranium in ocean sediments, which tracks oxygen concentrations.
Surprisingly, these barely changed during the PETM.
This sets an upper limit on how much ocean oxygen levels could have changed.
Computer simulations based on the results suggest a maximum ten-fold increase in the area of seafloor devoid of oxygen — taking the total to no more than 2% of the global seafloor.
This is still significant, at around ten times the modern area of anoxia, and there were clearly detrimental impacts and extinctions of marine life in some parts of the ocean.
Then and Now: A Shift in Resilience
Co-author Professor Tim Lenton, Director of Exeter’s Global Systems Institute notes: “This study shows how the resilience of the Earth’s climate system has changed over time.
“The order of mammals we belong to — the primates — originated in the PETM. Unfortunately, as we primates have been evolving for the last 56 million years, it looks like the oceans have been getting less resilient.”
Professor Lenton added: “Although the oceans were more resilient than we thought at this time in the past, nothing should distract us from the urgent need to reduce emissions and tackle the climate crisis today.”
Reference: “Upper limits on the extent of seafloor anoxia during the PETM from uranium isotopes” by Matthew O. Clarkson, Timothy M. Lenton, Morten B. Andersen, Marie-Laure Bagard, Alexander J. Dickson and Derek Vance, 15 January 2021, Nature Communications.
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20486-5
The research team included the University of Cambridge and Cardiff University.
The paper, published in the journal Nature Communications, is entitled: “Upper limits on the extent of seafloor anoxia during the PETM from uranium isotopes.”
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant agreement No 795722.
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1 Comment
“… taking the total to no more than 2% of the global seafloor… This is still significant, at around ten times the modern area of anoxia,…”
The article contains contradictory statements. The world today is nearly as warm as during the PETM, with large contributions of fertilizer runoff and soil erosion polluting the oceans. Yet, our anoxia zones are about 10% of what they were 56 million years ago! Still, the authors provide the obligatory statement, “This study shows how the resilience of the Earth’s climate system has changed over time. … it looks like the oceans have been getting less resilient.” That claim is not supported by their previous statements!
They also state that the atmospheric oxygen level was higher during the PETM, when it was warmer, than it is today. Yet, just yesterday, there was an article here claiming that if the Earth gets any warmer, photosynthesis, which produces oxygen and sequesters carbon dioxide, will shutdown. Somebody isn’t following the script!