Shrinking Andean glaciers threaten water supplies for 90 million people, with near-total ice loss possible by 2100 unless urgent climate action is taken.
At the first-ever World Day for Glaciers, hosted by UNESCO in Paris on 21 March 2025, scientists from the University of Sheffield warned that the rapid retreat of glaciers in the Andes threatens the water supply of 90 million people across South America.
These glaciers, located high in the Andes Mountains, spanning Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, and Colombia, are vital sources of freshwater. They support domestic water use, hydroelectric power generation, agriculture, industry, and livestock farming.
A new policy brief titled The Future of the Andean Water Towers, co-authored by researchers from the Universities of Sheffield and Newcastle, was presented at the event. The report highlights how glacial retreat is already reducing water availability and poses a growing threat to both water and food security for communities across the region.
The Andean glaciers are thinning by 0.7 meters a year, 35 percent faster than the global average. This could result in an almost total glacier loss in the area of the Tropical Andes, with other areas of the mountain range experiencing a loss of over half its glacier coverage according to some of the worst scenarios predicted.
Climate Change Driving Glacier Retreat
Dr. Jeremy Ely, from the University of Sheffield’s School of Geography and Planning, said: “The first Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report on climate change was published in 1990, and since then, very little has been done to curb the global carbon emissions fueling climate change.
“Our brief shows that what scientists have been predicting for years is now coming true, and swift action needs to be taken if we stand any hope of saving and preserving the glaciers that so many people rely on as a source of water.”
Climate change is raising air temperatures, causing more frequent and severe extreme weather events, decreasing snowfall, and increasing droughts across the Andes, all of which are threatening the stability of the Andean glaciers as a water source and the security of the people who rely on them.
Glacier Loss Has Accelerated Since 2000
The brief demonstrates that the shrinking of the glaciers has accelerated in recent decades, with unprecedented rates of ice loss post-2000, coinciding with increased greenhouse gas emissions worldwide.
For the 2015 Paris Agreement – the global treaty on climate change – countries around the world agreed to commit to take actions to keep global temperature rises within 1.5°C, as letting average global temperatures reach any higher would lead to extreme weather events, water shortages, lower crop yields, economic losses, higher sea levels and greater damage to nature.
However, that target was already surpassed for several months in 2024, and recent projections of a higher than 2°C warming scenario, show that areas of the Andes will be entirely, or almost entirely, ice-free by 2100.
The brief highlights that, as well as curbing global carbon emissions, effective management of water resources is necessary due to the consequence of changing human and natural systems and changing supply and demand affecting the region.
As glaciers shrink, supply diminishes, and many countries will be forced to try and mitigate the problem by building major water storage infrastructure, such as dams. However, this will take significant investment that poorer countries, and those most vulnerable to the effects of climate change, may not be able to afford.
Dr. Ely said: “Such a loss of ice across the Andes needs urgent attention as it will increase the stress on freshwater resources relied upon by communities and major cities downstream of the glaciers.
“With temperatures predicted to rise anywhere up to 4.5°C by the end of the century across the Andes, the risks and hazards of climate change will threaten the water and food security of millions of people.
“All the targets that have been set have already been missed and failed, yet the only way to preserve glaciers is to drastically reduce carbon emissions once and for all. The situation is serious, and it will take global cooperation to tackle climate change and make meaningful difference for the communities around the world most vulnerable from the effects of climate change.”
Reference: “Deplete and Retreat Publications and Outputs”
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5 Comments
But if the Grand Solar Minimum occurs as some are predicting, much of the world will return to the ice age climate again.
Buy a boat guys, these governments are too busy fighting over tarrifs, rair minerals land they do not own and soon water wars, measure the amount of CO2 in the air, measure the acidity in the rain water, their are many simple solutions to stop this problem but no government has the WILL to do it, gio thermal energy, electric vehicles and bikes , good reliable public transport, plenty of solutions out their and they make great reading, eg sand batteries for heating homes and water. But then again I am dealing with a bunch of juveniles hell bent on smashing my house renovation project! New windows not a month old and now they are into them, laminated this time., what a waste of time and money, this house could have been finished 2 years ago, and been a fairly sheep rent or sale , not now, as all the repairs have push up the market price, good luck kids with climate change, your going to need it🌍🌌🌊.
We are locust and are unwilling to change our behavior. Few remember the acid rain in the US. New regulations were introduced a rigorously enforced until the issue was resolved. Unless there is a tangible detriment to each individual, the group will vote for “no change”. If people in Argentina, Chile, Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, and Colombia are dying from dehydration don’t expect much from us. We would start investigating how to expliot this newly emptied land. After all that is what locust do.
And the shrinking Himalayan glaciers are a water-reservoir for how many billion people in greater India, China, Vietnam, Cambodia, Burma and Thailand?
The problem is that if glaciers should suddenly stop melting, there would be reduced stream and river flow that would be as threatening as if all the ice had melted. We have a Goldilocks environment in which there has been sufficient water to allow the human population to surge upward during the 20th Century. However, we have painted ourselves into a corner because we have become dependent on glaciers melting, but they are a finite resource. All options, warming, staying the same, or cooling, all lead to the same result — reduced availability of water from ice in the future.